Wow, what an incredibly valuable piece of work, thanks for posting.
I have to admit I didn't spend the time needed to absorb all of it, but I will, in time.
The part I was most interested in, is the energy analysis around the 2.3W per square metre effective heating effect.
The way I read this, is that this heat, acting on the thermal mass of Earth, gives the temperature rise we are seeing.
Am I right in saying there appears maybe an assumption of linearity, or at least the possibility of one there?
Reason I ask, is that the actual historical data appears heavily non- linear, implying we actually don't know how quickly the temperature can rise, only that we could be heavily underestimating it.
The 2.3W per square metre figure looks to me like something that could be moving fast, with a general trend upwards, it shouldn't be averaged out, as maybe any kind of aid to modelling. it is a result, rather than a cause, therefore should never be used as any kind of input to a model.
I am a model based systems Engineer by trade, with an interest in applying a model based solution to the climate problem, so your article is very much appreciated.
I will look forward to more :)