I had to come back to this article to manually check for responses, Medium didn't alert me to yours, otherwise I would have missed it, so I am sorry for my delay in replying to you.
The logic is really simple (Ignoring "experts" in crypto trading, who's gibberish dominates all things Bitcoin, unfortunately);
The rate of Bitcoin production is in graphs of Bitcoins in circulation like this one:
The thing to note is the slope of the curve, relative to the number already minted.
Remember also, this line does not include Bitcoin minted which are not still in circulation.
Even with that, it is on a trajectory to hit 21M in two or three years.
Why would we think it will change significantly in that time?
Your question does prompt some interesting thoughts, thanks very much for posting.
It seems likely that the last Bitcoin could come as something of a surprise to many, maybe the vast majority of people, including even miners.
Imagine the scenario, if indeed the solar power devoted to Bitcoin at that time was capable of powering the world.
How would we turn it off, all that excess power?
Revison of reasoning: Actually, reading more of some other analysis of Bitcoin, something I wasn’t aware of, is that there appears to be some manual control of the Bitcoin computation difficulty, which means that in effect, it is being manipulated. Which means anything might be possible. 2140 is mentioned in that article as a “Target”.
How does that impact the great Energy Ponzi, and perhaps it’s antidote, The Kardashev Hinge effect of Bitcoin?
Not a lot, it is all still valid, I think.
